Edit only the notebook in the lower part of this infographic. Keep all other artwork, the exact main title, all three main captions, footer and overall layout unchanged. Remove the cars, percentage numbers and checkmarks from the notebook. Replace them with a clean forecast ledger titled "Illustrative forecasts". Three columns exactly: "Question", "Confidence", "Outcome". Three independent rows exactly: "Train on time" / "Likely" / "Yes"; "Parcel today" / "Uncertain" / "No"; "Rain tomorrow" / "Unlikely" / "Yes". Make the wording readable. No percentages, no claims of calibration from these three invented examples. This ledger shows recording expectations before checking events, not real measured data. Preserve warm plum, cream and terracotta ink-and-gouache illustration.